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Quick report · Week 41 · Oct 5 – 9, 2026

MacroView 2026-W41 — Quick report

Fri Oct 9 close · the week in heat maps — markets, volatility, sectors, energy and safe havens, investment themes — plus next week's earnings and dividends

7,798S&P 500 · 1 week (SPY fund)+1.2%
14.84VIX · 1 week-3.1%
5.28%10-year Treasury yield · FRED, Wed Oct 7−0.01 pts vs Wed Sep 30
$4,220Gold $/oz · 1 week+1.4%
$91.66WTI crude $/barrel · 1 week+0.6%
102.23Dollar index (DXY) · 1 week+0.3%

Summary

Markets this week

Over the week the S&P 500 rose 1.2% to 7,798, the Nasdaq-100 rose 0.2% and small companies (Russell 2000) fell 0.9%, while gold rose 1.4%, crude oil rose 0.6% and the dollar index rose 0.3%.

Price change over the week (%), Fri Oct 2 → Fri Oct 9 close — the main asset classes
XAU+1.4%Gold
SPY+1.2%S&P 500
TLT+0.7%Long-term Treasuries
WTI+0.6%Crude oil
HYG+0.4%High-yield bonds
DXY+0.3%US dollar index
QQQ+0.2%Nasdaq-100
IWM-0.9%Russell 2000 (small companies)

Stocks and bonds are shown through the funds that track each market (SPY, QQQ, IWM, TLT, HYG). Price change only, not including dividends or interest.

Volatility & market stress

Market stress stayed low: the stress score is 20.0 out of 100, and the VIX — the market's gauge of expected stock swings over the next 30 days — ended at 14.84 after it fell 3.1% over the week; 1 of 13 volatility indexes rose.

Market stress level (0–100, higher = more fear), latest reading
CalmNeutralCautiousStressed20

Built from the volatility indexes below. Under 25: investors favouring riskier assets; above 65: investors moving to safer assets.

The VIX across time horizons — expected S&P 500 swings (annualised %), Friday's close
  1. 9.11 day
  2. 11.39 days
  3. 14.830 days
  4. 17.83 months
  5. 19.96 months
  6. 21.71 year

Each column is the yearly swing size that S&P 500 options prices imply over that horizon. Longer-term fear priced above near-term (30-day ÷ 3-month = 0.83) is the normal, calm shape; the reverse is a stress signal.

Volatility indexes — change over the week (%), red = expected swings rose
SKEW+6.5%154.34 · rank 79
VIX1Y-0.1%21.73 · rank 7
VIX3M-1.3%17.77 · rank 3
VIX6M-1.4%19.86 · rank 1
RVX-1.5%19.93 · rank 14
GVZ-1.9%22.79 · rank 12
VVIX-2.5%84.88 · rank 5
VIX-3.1%14.84 · rank 8
VXN-3.1%20.55 · rank 21
OVX-4.1%48.90 · rank 22
VIX9D-6.6%11.26 · rank 10
MOVE-8.2%98.47 · rank 72
VIX1D-15.9%9.05 · rank 6

Under each: Friday's level, then where it sits within its past-year range (0 = the year's lowest, 100 = the highest). MOVE measures expected swings in Treasury bonds, OVX in crude oil, GVZ in gold; VXN and RVX are the Nasdaq-100 and Russell 2000 versions of the VIX. Left out: VXTLT (long-term Treasury fund) — no Friday reading was available when this report was built.

Sectors

9 of the 11 sectors rose this week; utilities led (+4.0%) and technology trailed (−0.5%).

The 11 S&P 500 sectors — price change (%) over 1 day, 1 week, 1 month and 3 months, to Friday Oct 9's close, sorted by the week
Sector fund1 day1 week1 month3 months
XLU Utilities+0.8%+4.0%-3.6%-8.8%
XLE Energy-0.2%+3.6%-0.4%+18.2%
XLP Consumer staples+0.0%+3.6%+0.5%-0.8%
XLV Health care+1.6%+2.8%+2.5%+6.2%
XLY Consumer discretionary+1.0%+2.5%+0.3%-3.7%
XLF Financials+0.9%+2.3%-4.1%-1.8%
XLRE Real estate+1.9%+2.0%-4.1%-6.4%
XLB Materials+0.3%+1.2%-3.8%-2.9%
XLC Communication services-1.5%+0.1%-0.4%-1.1%
XLI Industrials+0.5%-0.4%-1.5%-7.0%
XLK Technology+0.5%-0.5%+5.8%+7.0%

Each sector is shown through its sector fund. 1 day = Friday Oct 9. Each column is shaded on its own scale.

Energy, gold & safe havens

Natural gas led the group (+5.6%); gold rose 1.4% to $4,220 an ounce, crude oil (WTI) rose 0.6%, long-term Treasury funds rose 0.7% and the dollar index rose 0.3%.

Energy, metals, bonds and the dollar — price change over the week (%), Fri Oct 2 → Fri Oct 9 close
NG+5.6%Natural gas
XLE+3.6%Energy stocks
XOP+3.6%Oil & gas producers
HG+3.4%Copper
XAG+1.9%Silver
OIH+1.6%Oil services
XAU+1.4%Gold
PL+0.7%Platinum
TLT+0.7%Treasuries, 20+ years
WTI+0.6%Crude oil (WTI)
LQD+0.6%Investment-grade corporate bonds
HYG+0.4%High-yield bonds
IEF+0.4%Treasuries, 7–10 years
TIP+0.3%Inflation-protected Treasuries
DXY+0.3%US dollar index
SHY+0.2%Treasuries, 1–3 years

Oil, gas and metals are futures prices; stock and bond groups are shown through the funds that track them (XLE, XOP, OIH, TLT, IEF, SHY, TIP, LQD, HYG). Gold-miner funds are unavailable this week: our data carries no one-week figure for them. Left out: Brent crude (its Friday close was not final when the data was built).

Investment themes

Over the week the typical stock did best in developer tools (+7.0%) and worst in quantum computing (−5.9%); the semiconductor grid shows Friday's move only (typical chip stock −0.6%).

The Magnificent Seven (the largest US tech stocks) — price change over the week (%), Fri Oct 2 → Fri Oct 9
AMZN+4.3%Amazon
MSFT+3.4%Microsoft
TSLA+3.3%Tesla
GOOGL+2.4%Alphabet
AAPL+0.9%Apple
META-1.3%Meta Platforms
NVDA-2.0%NVIDIA

7 stocks · typical stock (median) +2.4% · 5 up, 2 down.

Semiconductor stocks — Friday's move (1 day, %), Oct 9 only
FORM+1.9%FormFactor
CAMT+1.5%Camtek
KLIC+1.2%Kulicke & Soffa
STX+1.1%Seagate
WDC+1.0%Western Digital
SIMO+0.8%Silicon Motion
ASML+0.6%ASML
AVGO+0.4%Broadcom
MRVL+0.2%Marvell
ADI+0.1%Analog Devices
QCOM-0.3%Qualcomm
NVMI-0.5%Nova
AMAT-0.5%Applied Materials
LRCX-0.6%Lam Research
KLAC-0.6%KLA Corp
MU-0.7%Micron
SKHY-0.9%SK hynix
RMBS-0.9%Rambus
TSM-1.0%TSMC
ALAB-1.4%Astera Labs
NXPI-1.5%NXP Semiconductors
TXN-1.6%Texas Instruments
SNDK-1.7%SanDisk
AMD-2.0%AMD
INTC-2.2%Intel
AEHR-3.0%Aehr Test Systems
ARM-3.3%Arm Holdings
AMKR-3.7%Amkor

28 chip, chip-equipment and memory stocks · typical stock (median) −0.6% · 10 up, 18 down · chip-stock funds SOXX −0.7%, SMH −0.7%. This grid covers Friday only, not the whole week like the other grids in this section.

AI infrastructure — the companies that run AI computing (cloud, data centres) — price change over the week (%), Fri Oct 2 → Fri Oct 9
GDS+12.3%GDS Holdings
BABA+5.2%Alibaba
AMZN+4.3%Amazon
SKYY+4.0%First Trust Cloud
MSFT+3.4%Microsoft
TCEHY+2.8%Tencent
DTCR+2.6%Global X Data Center
GOOGL+2.4%Alphabet
IBM+2.0%IBM
NTTYY+1.6%NTT
BIDU+1.2%Baidu
DLR+0.1%Digital Realty
EQIX+0.0%Equinix
ORCL-0.6%Oracle
META-1.3%Meta Platforms
DOCN-3.8%DigitalOcean
HUT-6.0%Hut 8
CORZ-6.3%Core Scientific
APLD-6.7%Applied Digital
CRWV-8.4%CoreWeave
NBIS-8.9%Nebius Group
WULF-11.1%TeraWulf
GLXY-11.8%Galaxy Digital
CIFR-13.9%Cipher Mining
RIOT-14.4%Riot Platforms
IREN-15.7%IREN

26 stocks · typical stock (median) −0.3% · 13 up, 13 down. Left out: 018260.KS (listed outside the US), 300442.SZ (listed outside the US), GMG.AX (listed outside the US), IOS.DE (listed outside the US), MRL.MC (listed outside the US), NXT.AX (listed outside the US).

Optical & networking equipment — price change over the week (%), Fri Oct 2 → Fri Oct 9
CIEN+14.9%Ciena
UI+5.9%Ubiquiti
FFIV+5.7%F5
CSCO+5.5%Cisco
FN+4.9%Fabrinet
ANET+4.5%Arista Networks
ERIC+2.9%Ericsson
MTSI+2.6%MACOM
LITE+1.6%Lumentum
APH+0.3%Amphenol
TEL-0.9%TE Connectivity
CRDO-1.0%Credo
XTL-1.8%SPDR S&P Telecom
NOK-2.3%Nokia
VIAV-3.5%Viavi
SMTC-3.9%Semtech
GLW-4.6%Corning
AAOI-5.2%Applied Optoelectronics
CLS-6.5%Celestica
COHR-7.2%Coherent
SITM-13.7%SiTime

21 stocks · typical stock (median) −0.9% · 10 up, 11 down. Left out: FIVG (no trading since Jul 17).

Cybersecurity — price change over the week (%), Fri Oct 2 → Fri Oct 9
ZS+18.9%Zscaler
NTSK+17.0%Netskope
OKTA+9.8%Okta
FTNT+7.6%Fortinet
HACK+6.2%Amplify Cybersecurity
GEN+5.7%Gen Digital
RBRK+5.5%Rubrik
VRNS+5.4%Varonis
CHKP+5.2%Check Point
CIBR+5.1%First Trust Nasdaq Cyber
QLYS+4.9%Qualys
S+4.8%SentinelOne
CVLT+4.6%Commvault
PANW+3.9%Palo Alto Networks
CRWD+1.9%CrowdStrike
SAIL+1.7%SailPoint

16 stocks · typical stock (median) +5.3% · 16 up, 0 down.

Developer tools & software infrastructure — price change over the week (%), Fri Oct 2 → Fri Oct 9
GTLB+10.7%GitLab
TEAM+10.1%Atlassian
RBLX+9.0%Roblox
SNOW+8.2%Snowflake
MDB+7.8%MongoDB
U+7.5%Unity
DT+7.0%Dynatrace
FROG+7.0%JFrog
WCLD+6.1%WisdomTree Cloud
DDOG+5.8%Datadog
FIG+5.3%Figma
ESTC+4.6%Elastic
NET+3.4%Cloudflare
TWLO-1.7%Twilio
AKAM-1.8%Akamai

15 stocks · typical stock (median) +7.0% · 13 up, 2 down.

Quantum computing — price change over the week (%), Fri Oct 2 → Fri Oct 9
AMZN+4.3%Amazon
MSFT+3.4%Microsoft
GOOGL+2.4%Alphabet
IBM+2.0%IBM
IQMX-1.2%IQM
NVDA-2.0%NVIDIA
QTUM-2.6%Defiance Quantum
GFS-3.9%GlobalFoundries
WQTM-4.2%WisdomTree Quantum
QBTS-7.6%D-Wave Quantum
RGTI-8.0%Rigetti
IONQ-8.9%IonQ
QUBT-9.1%Quantum Computing Inc
XNDU-9.3%Xanadu
QNT-10.4%Quantinuum
LAES-11.0%SEALSQ
INFQ-16.1%Infleqtion
ARQQ-30.0%Arqit Quantum

18 stocks · typical stock (median) −5.9% · 4 up, 14 down.

Biotech & pharma — price change over the week (%), Fri Oct 2 → Fri Oct 9
PCVX+26.4%Vaxcyte
MRNA+18.4%Moderna
GMAB+6.7%Genmab
ALNY+5.9%Alnylam
ABBV+5.2%AbbVie
SMMT+5.0%Summit Therap.
TAK+4.9%Takeda
GILD+4.4%Gilead Sciences
IONS+4.0%Ionis
NVO+3.5%Novo Nordisk
RHHBY+3.5%Roche
LLY+3.2%Eli Lilly
AMGN+2.9%Amgen
KRYS+2.9%Krystal Biotech
BIIB+2.7%Biogen
EXEL+2.5%Exelixis
JNJ+2.1%Johnson & Johnson
NVS+2.0%Novartis
PFE+1.7%Pfizer
AZN+1.5%AstraZeneca
REGN+1.5%Regeneron
UTHR+1.4%United Therap.
VRTX+1.1%Vertex
MRK+0.9%Merck & Co.
ASND+0.6%Ascendis Pharma
IBB+0.6%iShares Biotech
HALO+0.5%Halozyme
SNY+0.4%Sanofi
BNTX+0.1%BioNTech
RPRX-0.4%Royalty Pharma
XBI-0.4%SPDR S&P Biotech
NBIX-0.5%Neurocrine
ROIV-0.8%Roivant Sciences
ONC-1.0%BeOne Medicines
GSK-1.1%GSK
ARWR-2.2%Arrowhead
INCY-2.2%Incyte
BBIO-2.8%BridgeBio
BMY-3.3%Bristol-Myers
CRSP-3.7%CRISPR Therap.
CYTK-4.1%Cytokinetics
BMRN-4.2%BioMarin
ABVX-5.1%Abivax
MDGL-5.5%Madrigal
AXSM-6.1%Axsome
JAZZ-7.3%Jazz Pharma
RVMD-8.2%Revolution Med.
INSM-9.5%Insmed
ARGX-10.2%argenx

49 stocks · typical stock (median) +0.6% · 29 up, 20 down. Left out: 068270.KS (listed outside the US), 207940.KS (listed outside the US), 4568.T (listed outside the US).

Energy & power — oil, gas, utilities, nuclear and power equipment — price change over the week (%), Fri Oct 2 → Fri Oct 9
TLN+18.0%Talen Energy
CEG+15.8%Constellation Energy
VST+15.3%Vistra
BWET+14.3%Breakwave Tanker
NRG+13.4%NRG Energy
MPC+7.7%Marathon Petroleum
VLO+6.8%Valero Energy
PEG+6.2%Public Service Enterpri…
COP+5.8%ConocoPhillips
KMI+4.6%Kinder Morgan
PPL+4.4%PPL
XLU+4.0%Utilities Select SPDR
XLE+3.6%Energy Select SPDR
XOP+3.6%S&P Oil & Gas E&P
VDE+3.5%Vanguard Energy
IXC+3.4%iShares Global Energy
XEL+3.3%Xcel Energy
WMB+3.0%Williams Companies
XOM+3.0%ExxonMobil
SO+2.9%Southern Company
AEP+2.7%American Electric Power
CVX+2.6%Chevron
LEU+2.3%Centrus Energy
EVRG+2.3%Evergy
WEC+2.1%WEC Energy
DTE+2.0%DTE Energy
ETR+1.9%Entergy
FSLR+1.8%First Solar
NLR+0.6%Uranium & Nuclear
D+0.5%Dominion Energy
ICLN+0.5%iShares Clean Energy
TAN-0.7%Invesco Solar
ENPH-2.0%Enphase Energy
BE-3.0%Bloom Energy
OKLO-3.3%Oklo
VRT-3.7%Vertiv
SMR-7.1%NuScale Power
UUUU-7.2%Energy Fuels
NVTS-13.1%Navitas Semiconductor

39 stocks · typical stock (median) +2.9% · 31 up, 8 down.

Week ahead — earnings

32 US-listed companies worth $10B or more report next week (14 of them worth $100B or more), starting Tue Oct 13 with JPM, JNJ, UNH, GS; September's consumer-price (CPI) report is due Wed Oct 14 at 08:30 ET.

Earnings reports next week, Mon Oct 12 – Fri Oct 16 — by day and time

Mon Oct 120

Before market open

—

After market close

—

Tue Oct 137

Before market open

UNH$337B±7.1%
WFC$243B±3.9%
C$214B±2.6%
GS$258B±2.5%
JPM$876B±2.5%
JNJ$623B±2.5%
DPZ$10.0B

After market close

—

Wed Oct 147

Before market open

ASML$696B±4.0%
BLK$166B±3.8%
BAC$374B±3.0%
MS$298B±2.9%
PGR$124B±2.4%
FAST$57.2B
STT$47.9B

After market close

—

Thu Oct 1513

Before market open

SCHW$165B±3.6%
TSM$2.45T±2.5%
PLD$121B
BNY$96.8B
USB$87.5B
PNC$86.9B
MRSH$82.9B
ERIC$31.9B
WIT$16.5B
FHN$10.9B

After market close

IBKR$39.8B
JBHT$20.9B
AA$11.2B

Fri Oct 165

Before market open

TRV$75.2B
TFC$55.7B
MTB$31.3B
CFG$26.6B
RF$22.7B

After market close

—

Companies reporting earnings, by day and time: US-listed, market value $10.0B or more — 32 reports in all. ±% is the share-price move options traders expect around the report, where options data is available; the bar compares it with the week's largest. The ±% figure is shown for the 13 companies worth $100B or more whose options isolate the report (options prices at the Wed Oct 7 close); none for PLD, as its options don't separate the report from ordinary trading days. Before market open / after market close is the company's announced slot. No $10B+ company reports on Monday Oct 12.

Key US economic releases next week
DateTimeReleaseNote
Wed Oct 1408:30 ETConsumer prices (CPI) — September 2026

Next Fed rate decision: Wed Oct 28, 14:00 ET.

Week ahead — dividends

1 ex-dividend date in the covered window: Micron Technology (MU), $0.15 a share, on Wed Oct 14.

Upcoming ex-dividend dates
Ex-dividend dateTickerCompanyMarket capDividend per sharePay date
Wed Oct 14MUMicron Technology$1.23T$0.15Oct 29

Ex-dividend date: own the shares before this day to receive the dividend. Covers a selected list of large US companies, next 7 weekdays (from Fri Oct 9) — not every $10B+ company. Market value from the earnings calendar.